2 PM Advisory: Hurricane Dorian Beginning To Increase Speed

The National Hurricane Center's 2pm advisory states Dorian has maximum sustained winds at 110mph and is moving NW at 5mph.

As Dorian moves along the Florida east coast, heavy wind and rain is still expected for South Florida, however the eye of the storm is finally moving away from the Bahamas.

Dangerous winds and storm surge is still expected on Grand Bahama through the evening.

 

BULLETIN

Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 41A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019

200 PM EDT Tue Sep 03 2019

...DORIAN'S CORE MOVING FINALLY MOVING AWAY FROM GRAND BAHAMA

ISLAND...

...DANGEROUS WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE

ON GRAND BAHAMA THROUGH THIS EVENING...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...27.5N 78.7W

ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM N OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND

ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Bahamas has changed the Hurricane Warning to

a Tropical Storm Warning for Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands

in the northwestern Bahamas.

The Tropical Storm Watch for Lake Okeechobee has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* Jupiter Inlet FL to South Santee River SC

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* North of South Santee River SC to Cape Lookout NC

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Jupiter Inlet FL to Ponte Vedra Beach FL

* North of Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Edisto Beach SC

* North of South Santee River SC to Duck NC

* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands in the northwestern Bahamas

* North of Deerfield Beach FL to Jupiter Inlet FL

* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Edisto Beach SC

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening

inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,

during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction

of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm

Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a

life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas

should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from

rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.

Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local

officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-

threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the

coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and

property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible

within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours

before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force

winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or

dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts of

the United States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian,

as additional watches or warnings may be required today.

For storm information specific to your area in the United

States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please

monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service

forecast office. For storm information specific to your area

outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by

your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located

by NWS Doppler radar near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 78.7 West.

Dorian is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a

slightly faster motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is

expected later today and tonight. A turn toward the north is

forecast by Wednesday evening, followed by a turn toward the

north-northeast Thursday morning. On this track, the core of

extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will gradually move north of

Grand Bahama Island through this evening. The hurricane will then

move dangerously close to the Florida east coast late today through

Wednesday evening, very near the Georgia and South Carolina coasts

Wednesday night and Thursday, and near or over the North Carolina

coast late Thursday and Thursday night.

Data from reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum

sustained winds remain near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts.

Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next

couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles

(280 km).

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from Air Force

Reserve and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is 959 mb (28.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions will continue on

Grand Bahama Island through tonight.

Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the Hurricane

Warning area in Florida overnight. Hurricane conditions are

possible in the Hurricane Watch area as early as Wednesday and could

spread northward within the watch area through Thursday.

In South Florida, tropical storm conditions are expected within the

Tropical Storm Warning area through today. Along the coast of

northeastern Florida and Georgia, tropical storm conditions are

expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area on Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: Water levels should very slowly subside on Grand

Bahamas Island and the Abaco Islands through tonight. Near the

coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause

normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters

moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the

following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if

the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Flagler/Volusia County Line FL to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft

Jupiter Inlet FL to the Flagler/Volusia County Line FL...3 to 5 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of

strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and

destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close

the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over

short distances. For information specific to your area, please see

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast

office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall

totals through Friday:

Northwestern Bahamas...Additional 2 to 4 inches, isolated storm

totals over 30 inches.

Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.

Atlantic Coast from the Florida peninsula north of West Palm Beach

through Georgia...3 to 6 inches, isolated 9 inches.

Southeast Virginia...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells are affecting the northwestern Bahamas, the

Florida east coast, and the coast of Georgia. These swells are

expected to spread northward along much of the remainder of the

southeastern United States coast during the next couple of days.

These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip

current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather

office.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible near the immediate east

coast of Florida through tonight. This risk will shift to along

the immediate coastal Georgia and the coastal Carolinas on Wednesday

into Thursday.

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